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A PARTING GIFT FOR RENO-TREND BETTING

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  • A PARTING GIFT FOR RENO-TREND BETTING

    A FEW YEARS BACK I WAS AN OUTSTANDING HANDICAPPER OF N.B.A. TOTALS.

    DURING THIS TIME I CAME ACROSS A PUBLICATION:
    TRENDS WEEKLY PUBLISHED BY DAVLER SPORTS.

    I CONTACTED THE OWNER PETE DAVIS AND WE CORRESPONDED REGULARLY FOR ABOUT TWO YEARS.

    AT THAT TIME THE MOST SOLID TREND IN FOOTBALL AND BASKETBALL BETTING WAS N.B.A.TOTALS.

    AT THE TIME THEY WERE CLICKING AT .709%.

    WHEN I WOULD HANDICAP A TOTAL AND IT HAD A CORRESPONDING TREND ON IT'S SIDE I WOULD PRESS THE BET.

    I DID EXTREMELY WELL.

    I HAD MR.DAVIS PUBLISH HIS WEEKLY AND SEASONAL RECORD ON THE COVER EACH WEEK.

    THE RECORD COULD NEVER BE IN DISPUTE BECAUSE HE GIVES YOU THE LINE YOU MUST WAGER AT.

    IF YOU CAN'T GET THE PRICE THERE IS NO BET.

    SOME WEEKS THERE ARE LESS THAN 5 PLAYS OTHER WEEKS MAYBE AS MANY AS 10.

    OVER THE LAST 5 YEARS THESE TRENDS ARE 65%.

    I HAVE A FRIEND WHO JUSTS HAS TO BET AND I CONVINCED HIM TO TRY THIS METHOD.

    HE HAS WON FIVE YEARS RUNNING.

    I PERSONALLY HAVEN'T LOOKED AT THIS IN YEARS.

    IF YOU WANT TO CHECK IT OUT:
    WWW.DAVLERSPORTS.COM

    I'M SURE WITH ALL THE READERS HERE THOSE FAMILIAR WITH TRENDS WEEKLY WILL POST THEIR OPINIONS ACCORDINGLY.

    NOBODY WAS MORE SKEPTICAL THAN ME,BELIEVE ME IT'S WORTH A LOOK.

    REALITY

  • #2
    Reality,

    I am looking forward to your next parting statement/gift/rant ... coming soon I am sure!

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by PerpetualCzech:
      Reality,

      I am looking forward to your next parting statement/gift/rant ... coming soon I am sure!
      P.Z.

      BE NICE,SPIRO IS A VERY GOOD FRIEND OF MINE.

      BTW THAT WAS THE LAST.

      DON'T DRINK THE GREEK'S COFFEE IT WILL KILL YOU.

      REALITY

      Comment


      • #4
        Reality, I checked out the sample tout sheet, and it was just like the other rags on the market. Also, the guy hasn't done his homework regarding teasers. Now does that mean his trends aren't successful? Well, since I consider myself an open-minded guy, I'm, well, open to the possibility of him being a guru in this area. And, since the NFL season is upon us, and since it is the number one sport for betting, and since most players lose betting it, it would only be fitting that you or someone else present even ONE NFL angle--other than Monday Night ones--by Davler or anyone else, that hits a high winning percentage and involves a statistically significant number of games. And since, no one has to worry about the super-solid NFL numbers being ruined by sharing knowledge, no one should object to enlightening us.

        Years ago, I read all of the so-called gurus, including--Mike Lee, Barbara Nathan, Ernie Kaufman, and, of course, the "legendary" Jack Painter ( J.R. Miller's handicapping guru). And, guess what, NONE of their "great" angles (or trends)consistently wins. Mort Olshan of Gold Sheet came to the same conclusion that I did regarding the NFL: trend betting does not win.

        Reality, what's amazing to me is that you aren't a multi-millionaire. First, you claimed to have made far more money scalping baseball in the "good old days" than I currently do in this modern age of clone joints, which you helped create. Second, if you were good at handicapping NBA totals, and in conjunction with Davler's angles were hitting 65% winners, why would you have ever quit? If you'd bet on your NBA totals using a Kelly, starting with just a dime a game, you'd be a multi-millionaire by now and have a huge effect on the line movement of NBA totals.

        Comment


        • #5
          RENO,

          I UNLIKE YOU,SPEND IT FASTER THAN I MAKE IT.

          I UNLIKE YOU,PICK UP CHECKS.

          IT IS A TREND SHEET,WITH SPECIFIC TRENDS IN BASKETS AND FOOTBALL.

          THE INFORMATION YOU WOULD LIKE REGARDING TEASERS CAN BE PREPARED BY THE L.V.S.C.

          CONTACT CAROL LUCAN AND SHE WILL PUT YOU IN TOUCH WITH HER STATS GURU.

          OOPS!

          SORRY...

          THIS IS A SERVICE YOU HAVE TO PAY FOR, AND YOU HAVE ALREADY EXPRESSED YOUR DISLIKE FOR PAYING FOR INFORMATION IN SOME OTHER THREAD.

          YOU ARE PETTY IN THE POCKET AS WELL AS PERSONALLY.

          IT WAS MEANT FOR THOSE LESS GIFTED THAN:

          THE GREAT RENO - A LEGEND IN HIS OWN MIND.

          REALITY





          [This message has been edited by REALITY (edited 08-04-2000).]

          Comment


          • #6
            Reality, it is absolutely false that I don't like paying for information. In fact, I just spent $70 to sign up for one year of access to an Internet site specializing in providing information on the sex havens of the world.

            Comment


            • #7
              RENO,

              IN MY NEIGHBORHOOD THERE IS A SAYING ABOUT LESS THAN EXTRAVAGANT PEOPLE:

              THEY THROW NICKELS AROUND LIKE SEWER CAPS...

              $70 FOR INFO ON SEX HAVENS OF THE WORLD.

              DID YOU SCALP A PENNY ON A 7 DIME PLAY?

              I'M IMPRESSED.

              PLEASE ACCEPT MY APOLOGY.

              YOUR FRIEND,

              REALITY

              Comment


              • #8
                Yo - Guys'
                Why doesn't Mr. Davler just use his own information to become a Bill Gates clone? Same question for touts? If trends and touts don't work is the converse of the equation effective? Or what if we interview beer belly Joe Loser at the El Cortez - write down his picks (buck a winner!) and go against them.

                [This message has been edited by bucky (edited 08-04-2000).]

                Comment


                • #9
                  Bucky, I think it is asking a bit much to expect Davler or any other tout to bet his own plays and pocket 60-billion dollars. However, it is not beyond probability for a tout, or player, who can really consistently hit 65% winners to eventually make Billy Walter or Poker Player-type money. In other words, if REALITY had starting betting Davler's "consistent 65% winners," say five years ago, and started betting the plays, using a Kelly money-management system, for a mere dime on each play, he would now be worth untold millions of dollars and would be now betting well over a hundred dimes per game. But, as REALITY has proven, if you eat at expensive restaurants, pick up the checks, and leave generous tips, even millions of dollars can disappear fast.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    The problem, of course, with trends, it that once they become a "trend", the value is usually gone.

                    Show me a trend that's hitting 65% today, and I'll show tou a trend that will be lucky to hit 53% over the next 5 years. That's the nature of the beast.

                    Hey, if you're lucky enough to stumble on a trend early, and the trend is built on sound principles, you can ride it out for a time.

                    I also think when used in conjunction with sound handicapping, they can be helpful............as Mr Reality pointed out with the NBA totals.

                    But I would be leary of blindly play8ing a trend..............just my opinion....

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      RENO,

                      IT'S NOT JUST THE RESTAURANTS.

                      WHAT ABOUT HOTELS AND PLANE FARES.

                      I JUST SPENT 1O GREAT DAYS IN A SWANK HOTEL IN A BEAUTIFUL RESORT WITH A MUTUAL FRIEND OF DOGGIES AND MINE AND THE B.M.FROM C.R.I.S. AND A CELEBRITY GUEST WHICH MUST REMAIN ANONYMOUS.

                      ME AND MY FRIENDS JUST PROVIDE ENTERTAINMENT EVERYWHERE WE GO.

                      IN THE LOBBY OF THE HOTEL WE'RE FIGHTING OVER WHOSE PAYING THE 10 DIMES WORTH OF ACCOMODATIONS FOR EVERYONE.

                      AND I DO MEAN MAKING A SCENE OVER WHO WAS PAYING.

                      I'M PROUD TO SAY I WON AND WAS HONORED TO HOST THE ACCOMODATIONS FOR SOME OF THE BEST FRIENDS A MAN COULD EVER BE BLESSED WITH.

                      THE GUESTS IN THE LOBBY LOVED THE ENTERTAINMENT AND CLAPPED,CHEERED AND WHISTLED WILDLY WHEN THE FESTIVITIES WERE OVER.

                      A SCENE THAT TRULY BELONGED IN A MOVIE...

                      I'M A LITTLE MORE IMPOSING THAN YOU SO I PAY A LOT.

                      I'M SURE EVEN THOUGH YOUR SMALLER THAN MYSELF YOU MUST BE LIKE A MANIAC LITTLE PIT BULL FIGHTING LIKE CRAZY WHEN THE CHECK COMES.

                      AM I RIGHT?

                      PLEASE SPARE ME ABOUT THE CELEBRITY MENTION.

                      IF YOU PROMISE NOT TO HAVE DIA-RENO OF THE MOUTH,YOU KNOW THAT MALADY YOU SUFFER FROM FROM, SAYING THINGS THAT YOU SHOULDN'T,YOU CAN E-MAIL JEFF AND HE'LL TELL YOU WHO IT WAS.

                      RONBETS,YOU COMMENTED ABOUT RENO AND REALITY'S MONEY.

                      YOU WERE ONLY HALF RIGHT.

                      RENO,HAS ALL THE MONEY.

                      HE'S NOT BIG ENOUGH TO GET THOSE CHECKS BUT I HAVE IT ON GOOD AUTHORITY HE HAS ENLISTED THE HELP OF THAT TAE-BO GUY TO HELP HIM BULK UP SO HE CAN BETTER ASSERT HIMSELF IN THE ART OF PICKING UP THE CHECK.

                      AIN'T THAT RIGHT,RENO?

                      I'M LIKE YOU BUDDY I STILL OWE BUT I'M GETTING CLOSER.

                      OH BY THE WAY DID I MENTIONED JEFF AND HIS WIFE WERE INVITED ALSO TO BE GUESTS OF MR.REALITY?

                      THE KEYWORD HERE BEING GUEST OF MR.REALITY NOT JUST INVITED TO BE IN ATTENDANCE.

                      UNFORTUNATELY,THEY WERE UNABLE TO ATTEND.

                      NOT TOO WORRY, MR.REALITY HAS A RAIN CHECK POLICY FOR HIS FRIENDS, JUST LIKE WALMART...

                      RENO,PLEASE STOP BRINGING REALITY'S NAME UP IN VAIN.

                      I'M TRYING TO ADJUST TO MY RETIREMENT BUT EVERYTIME YOU MENTION MR. REALITY THE PHONE RINGS OR I GET AN E-MAIL.

                      YOU BLEW YOUR DINNER INVITATION WITH ME BUT MY LUNATIC FRIENDS ARE ENJOYING RENO/REALITY SO MUCH THEY'RE BUYING DINNER JUST TO KEEP YOUR STRENGTH UP SO YOU CAN KEEP POSTING!

                      EVERYTIME I TRY TO GET OUT RENO PULLS ME BACK IN.

                      I GUESS LIFE WITHOUT REALITY IS UNSETTLING.

                      MORE SO IT SEEMS FOR RENO...

                      YOUR FRIEND,

                      RETIRED REALITY


                      [This message has been edited by REALITY (edited 08-05-2000).]

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        Reality,

                        C.R.I.S. needs a good book manager don't they. They had to go to a 20 cent line didn't they? They seem to always open themselves up WIDE on every game. That can't be good sports book managing, or GOOD for anything for that matter. You can tell by the way they move things they aren't very smart. In my opinion that book is not being run the right way at all. I would think they could get somebody sharp to manage the book.

                        Do you ever bring this up to them? You say your this great bookie, Why aren't you down there helping them out? They do need help don't they? That's one office I would work for because I know I could make them more money than almost anybody they could ever find. Not somebody that just changes the numbers blindly. Not somebody that will move off of LOSER MONEY and let a WISEGUY buy it right back and think HE DID SOMETHING RIGHT. Day after Day. Not somebody that needs to talk to OTHER PEOPLE to get opinions on the lines. They need somebody that knows the value of point spreads, money lines, moving baseball totals, putting up normal hockey lines.

                        Why would you not work for them?

                        Just asking, I worked down there before and I like this office. I have friends work there also and always tell people to play there. It was hard after they went to a 20 cent baseball line, but they are still a TOP BOOK.

                        What a waste of a good book, They should have been the biggest.

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          Originally posted by DoggieStyle:
                          Reality,

                          C.R.I.S. needs a good book manager don't they.

                          NO.

                          THEY HAVE AN OUTSTANDING BOOKMAKER,ONE OF THE BEST.

                          They had to go to a 20 cent line didn't they? They seem to always open themselves up WIDE on every game. That can't be good sports book managing, or GOOD for anything for that matter. You can tell by the way they move things they aren't very smart. In my opinion that book is not being run the right way at all. I would think they could get somebody sharp to manage the book.


                          THE GENTLEMAN THERE NOW IS AS GOOD AS IT GETS.


                          Do you ever bring this up to them? You say your this great bookie, Why aren't you down there helping them out? They do need help don't they?

                          ABSOLUTELY NOT!

                          THE MAN CALLING THE SHOTS THERE NOW HAS 11 YEARS EXPERIENCE IN THE TOUGHEST SHOP IN THE BUSINESS.

                          HE HAS FEW PEERS IN THIS BUSINESS...

                          That's one office I would work for because I know I could make them more money than almost anybody they could ever find. Not somebody that just changes the numbers blindly. Not somebody that will move off of LOSER MONEY and let a WISEGUY buy it right back and think HE DID SOMETHING RIGHT. Day after Day. Not somebody that needs to talk to OTHER PEOPLE to get opinions on the lines. They need somebody that knows the value of point spreads, money lines, moving baseball totals, putting up normal hockey lines.


                          THE MAN THEY HAVE IS OUTSTANDING.

                          THEY HAVE A PHILOSOPHY WHICH THEY FOLLOW TO THE LETTER.

                          THIS IS THE BIGGEST CLEARING HOUSE.

                          THEY WANT VOLUME NOT DECISIONS.

                          THEY DON'T MOVE ON COLD MONEY.

                          THEY KEEP A HAND CHART TO MOVE OFF OF.

                          YOU DO KNOW WHAT A HAND CHART IS DON'T YOU?


                          Why would you not work for them?


                          I HAVE CONSULTED WITH THEM ON NUMEROUS OCASSIONS.

                          IF YOUR BORED GOT TO THE THREAD ENTITTLED:PATHETIC MLS BY REALITY IN WHICH THEY POSTED ON MY BEHALF.

                          APOLOGIES MLS.


                          Just asking, I worked down there before and I like this office.

                          I GUESS YOU DIDN'T IMPRESS THEM ENOUGH WITH YOUR MANY TALENTS FOR THEM TO TRUST YOU RUNNING THIS KIND OF OPERATION...

                          I have friends work there also and always tell people to play there. It was hard after they went to a 20 cent baseball line, but they are still a TOP BOOK.

                          What a waste of a good book, They should have been the biggest.
                          THEY ARE THE BIGGEST...BAR NONE!

                          DOGGIE,

                          WHAT'S YOUR PROBLEM?

                          THIS BUSINESS IS MY LIFE.

                          I'VE PAID MY DUES IN SPADES.

                          I HAVE AN EDUCATION FROM BOTH SIDES OF THE COUNTER AND IT DIDN'T COME CHEAP PERSONALLY OR PROFESSIONALLY.

                          SO EITHER SHOW ME THE SAME RESPECT I'M TRYING TO SHOW YOU OR JUST DON'T ADDRESS ME.

                          MY SAINTED GRANDMOTHER TOLD ME IF YOU DON'T HAVE NOTHING NICE TO SAY ABOUT A PERSON DON'T SAY ANYTHING AT ALL...

                          REALITY

                          P.S.

                          MY N.B.A.TOTALS WERE SO STRONG PUZZLE WANTED TO BANKROLL ME,BUT I MADE A COMMITMENT TO THE OTHER SIDE OF THE COUNTER AND THAT WAS THAT.

                          P.P.S.

                          I PUSHED UP THE END OF AN ERA:IS SCALPING GONE FOREVER YOU FAILED TO RESPOND TO MY POST IN THERE REGARDING WHAT IS PREVENTING YOU FROM OPENING UP YOURSELF.

                          COULD IT BE YOU NOT QUITE SO ANXIOUS TO BACK YOUR GREAT SET OF NUMBERS WITH YOUR OWN MONEY.



                          [This message has been edited by REALITY (edited 08-05-2000).]

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Reality,

                            Your right I won't address you ever again.

                            Your one of those people that worships people who are important and have things. You have to impress people by telling everyone how good you are, Even though everyone just ignores it. You are so good you just can't keep it a secret. You have to point at others to keep people from thinking that you really don't know anything. You feel the need to say more names (even if they are nick-names) than the rest of the posters COMBINED!

                            If you can't say something intelligent GOOD BYE........

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              Originally posted by DoggieStyle:
                              Reality,

                              C.R.I.S. needs a good book manager don't they. They had to go to a 20 cent line didn't they? They seem to always open themselves up WIDE on every game. That can't be good sports book managing, or GOOD for anything for that matter. You can tell by the way they move things they aren't very smart. In my opinion that book is not being run the right way at all. I would think they could get somebody sharp to manage the book.

                              Do you ever bring this up to them? You say your this great bookie, Why aren't you down there helping them out? They do need help don't they? That's one office I would work for because I know I could make them more money than almost anybody they could ever find. Not somebody that just changes the numbers blindly. Not somebody that will move off of LOSER MONEY and let a WISEGUY buy it right back and think HE DID SOMETHING RIGHT. Day after Day. Not somebody that needs to talk to OTHER PEOPLE to get opinions on the lines. They need somebody that knows the value of point spreads, money lines, moving baseball totals, putting up normal hockey lines.

                              Why would you not work for them?

                              Just asking, I worked down there before and I like this office. I have friends work there also and always tell people to play there. It was hard after they went to a 20 cent baseball line, but they are still a TOP BOOK.

                              What a waste of a good book, They should have been the biggest.

                              DOGGIE,

                              VERY DISAPPOINTING.

                              YOU ADDRESS A POST TO ME AND THEN WHEN I REPLY BELOW YOU RETREAT BACK INTO YOUR DOGHOUSE.

                              THE ONE THING I ADMIRED ABOUT YOU WAS YOUR TENACITY.

                              I GUESS YOU HAVE ENLISTED IN THE RENO SCHOOL OF POSTING.

                              REALITY

                              Comment

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