Super Bowl LIX Preview and Prediction: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Philadelphia Eagles
The Kansas City Chiefs and the Philadelphia Eagles meet in Super Bowl LIX at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana, on February 9, 2025. This matchup marks the ninth repeat Super Bowl matchup in NFL history and the second time these two teams have met in the Super Bowl in the past three years. The Chiefs are looking to become the first team in NFL history to win three consecutive Super Bowl championships, while the Eagles are seeking revenge for their loss to the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVII and their second championship in franchise history.
The Chiefs are favored by -1.5 with a total of 49 at Betonline
Historical Super Bowl Matchup
The Chiefs and Eagles first met in the Super Bowl two years ago in Super Bowl LVII. The Eagles jumped out to an early lead, but the Chiefs were able to tie the game in the second quarter when Jalen Hurts fumbled the ball, allowing Chiefs linebacker Nick Bolton to score a defensive touchdown. In a thrilling back-and-forth game that saw the third-most points scored in Super Bowl history, the Chiefs emerged victorious with a 38-35 win. The Eagles, despite scoring the most points by a losing team in Super Bowl history, were ultimately unable to overcome the crucial fumble by Hurts. In that game, Mahomes threw for 182 yards and three touchdowns, while Hurts threw for 374 yards and three touchdowns and also rushed for 70 yards and a touchdown.
Recent Team Performance
Both teams have displayed impressive performances throughout the season and playoffs. The Chiefs secured the top seed in the AFC with a 15-2 record, while the Eagles dominated the NFC with a 14-3 record.
Kansas City Chiefs
The Chiefs’ offense has been a force to be reckoned with, led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes. Mahomes finished the regular season with 3,800 passing yards, 26 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. However, their traditional rushing attack has faced challenges, with Kareem Hunt and Isiah Pacheco struggling to average four yards per carry. Furthermore, the Chiefs ranked 22nd in yards per play and 22nd in red zone scoring percentage. Despite these struggles, the Chiefs have shown an incredible ability to win close games, boasting a 12-0 record in one-score games this season.
The Chiefs’ defense has been solid, ranking fourth in the league in points allowed per game (19.4). Key defensive players include Chamarri Conner, Drue Tranquill, and Justin Reid, who have consistently made impactful plays throughout the season. In the playoffs, the Chiefs’ defense has continued to perform well, limiting the Texans to 14 points and the Bills to 29 points.
The Chiefs have a long and storied history in the Super Bowl, with this being their seventh appearance. They won Super Bowl IV in 1970 and have been victorious in three of their last four Super Bowl appearances, including back-to-back wins in Super Bowl LVII and LVIII. This experience on the big stage could give them an edge over the Eagles.
Heading into the Super Bowl, the Chiefs have a relatively clean bill of health. Patrick Mahomes has been dealing with an ankle injury, but he has been a full participant in practice.
Philadelphia Eagles
The Eagles have showcased a balanced offensive attack, combining a strong rushing game with an efficient passing game. Quarterback Jalen Hurts has been a dual-threat weapon, throwing for 3,517 yards and 24 touchdowns while also rushing for 630 yards and 14 touchdowns in the regular season. The addition of Saquon Barkley has bolstered their rushing attack, as he led the league with 2,005 rushing yards and 13 touchdowns. The Eagles finished the regular season with 6,242 total offensive yards, ranking eighth in the league.
The Eagles’ defense has been exceptional, ranking third in the league in total yards allowed per game (290.1). Their defense has been particularly dominant since Week 6, ranking first in the NFL in several key categories, including total defense, passing defense, rushing defense, and defensive points allowed per game. They have also been adept at taking the football away, ranking first in takeaways since Week 6. In the NFC Championship game, the Eagles’ defense held the Commanders to just 23 points while their offense exploded for 55 points. This dominant performance showcased their ability to control the game on both sides of the ball.
The Eagles have appeared in four Super Bowls, winning Super Bowl LII in 2018. They will be looking to avenge their loss to the Chiefs in Super Bowl LVII and secure their second Super Bowl title.
The Eagles have a few key injuries to monitor heading into the Super Bowl. Wide receiver DeVonta Smith is dealing with a hamstring injury and has been limited in practice.
Historical Super Bowl Betting Trends
Historically, Super Bowl games have been closely contested, with underdogs performing well against the spread. In the past 37 Super Bowls, the underdog has covered the spread 22 times (59.5%). Furthermore, underdogs have won six of the last 10 Super Bowls outright.
The over/under results in Super Bowls have been more evenly split, with the over hitting in 19 of the past 37 Super Bowls (51.4%). However, recent Super Bowls have trended towards higher-scoring games, with the over hitting in four of the last five Super Bowls.
Prediction:
- Eagles +1.5: The Eagles’ defense and running game will be the difference in this game.
- As for the total, th emodel says under, but these Super Bowls tend to become offensive showcases as the game moves along. We’ll pass on the total.