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ACC Championship Pick: SMU vs. Clemson

ACC Championship Pick SMU vs. Clemson

Mustangs and Tigers Tangle in ACC Championship Thriller

Get ready for a high-octane clash in the ACC Championship game as the SMU Mustangs take on the Clemson Tigers at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, North Carolina, on Saturday, December 7th at 8 pm EST. In a surprising turn of events, SMU enters as a 2-point favorite with the total set at a sky-high 55, promising an offensive explosion with a potential College Football Playoff berth hanging in the balance.

This matchup pits the high-flying Mustangs, led by offensive guru Rhett Lashlee, against the perennial powerhouse Clemson Tigers, who are looking to reclaim their ACC dominance after a brief hiatus. Both teams boast explosive offenses and opportunistic defenses, setting the stage for a captivating showdown with national implications.

SMU’s Offensive Fireworks:

The Mustangs have been lighting up scoreboards all season, averaging over 40 points per game. Their ability to strike quickly and put up points in bunches will be a major test for Clemson’s defense.

Clemson’s Championship Pedigree:

Despite a few bumps in the road this season, Clemson remains a program synonymous with ACC championships. They’ve consistently found ways to win big games, and their experience on the big stage cannot be discounted. Clemson’s defense, while not as dominant as in years past, is still capable of making game-changing plays.

Key Matchups:

The X-Factor:

Coaching could be a major factor in this game. Rhett Lashlee has revitalized the SMU program with his innovative offensive schemes, while Clemson’s Dabo Swinney is a proven winner with a knack for getting the best out of his team in big games.

Prediction:

Here’s a look at the score predictions from our model which uses 3 different time frame parameters.

Clemson                   54.5          26   NEUTRAL 
S.M.U.                    -2.5          28 full season data
  
Clemson                   54.5          13   NEUTRAL 
S.M.U.                    -2.5          24 last 4 games data
  
Clemson                   54.5          21   NEUTRAL 
S.M.U.                    -2.5          28 last 7 games data

The predictions that carry more weight this time of year are the ones using data from the last 4 games and the last 7 games. Games played in September generally have little meaning come December.

As you can see, both of those predictions using the more recent data favor SMU by 7 to 11 points.

Our Pick – SMU -2

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