Texas A&M at Ole Miss SEC CFB Pick ATS – 11/13/21

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texas am vs. ole miss pick
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# 12 Ole Miss will host #11 Ole Miss on Saturday in SEC college football action. Mississippi is currently a 2.5 point home underdog with a total of 57.

Texas A&M is 7-2 overall and 4-2 in conference play. Ole Miss comes in at 6-3 overall and 3-2 in the conference. They both trail 1st place Alabama but the Aggies have already beaten the Tide. If they win out and Alabama loses to either Arkansas or Auburn the Aggies would win the division.

Texas A&M – Ole Miss – Head to Head

10/19/2019  Texas A&M                24  - 6.0  at Ole Miss                 17
11/10/2018  Ole Miss                 24  +12.0  at Texas A&M                38
11/18/2017  Texas A&M                31  - 2.5  at Ole Miss                 24
11/12/2016  Ole Miss                 29  +10.0  at Texas A&M                28
10/24/2015  Texas A&M                 3  + 5.5  at Ole Miss                 23
10/11/2014  Ole Miss                 35  + 2.5  at Texas A&M                20
10/12/2013  Texas A&M                41  - 6.5  at Ole Miss                 38
10/ 6/2012  Texas A&M                30  -13.5  at Ole Miss                 27
  
   average outcome:
     Texas A&M               26.9  Ole Miss                27.1
     margin =   0.25
  
   time-weighted average outcome:
     Texas A&M               26.9  Ole Miss                24.8
     margin =  -2.08
  
   average result when the home team is Ole Miss               
     Texas A&M               25.8  Ole Miss                25.8
     margin =   0.00
  
   average result when the home team is Texas A&M              
     Ole Miss                29.3  Texas A&M               28.7
     margin =  -0.67
  
    25.00 % of games went Over
    20.00 % went Over at Ole Miss               
  
   average total points per game =  54.00
   time-weighted average total   =  51.69
  
   the home team covered  50.00 % of the time
   the road team covered  50.00 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential = -0.44
  
   the favorite  covered  50.00 % of the time
   the underdog  covered  50.00 % of the time
   Ave ATS differential = -2.56
  
   the favorite won SU    75.00 % of the time
  
   Texas A&M               covered  37.50 % of the time
   Ole Miss                covered  62.50 % of the time
  
   Ole Miss                covered  60.00 % of the time at home
   Ole Miss                covered  50.00 % of the time as home underdogs

Here are 3 score predictions from our model. The 1st score uses season to date data. The 2nd score uses data from the last 4 games and the 3rd score uses data from the last 7 games.

Texas A&M                 -2.0          23           
Ole Miss                  55.5          24
  
Texas A&M                 -2.0          19           
Ole Miss                  55.5          13
  
Texas A&M                 -2.0          26           
Ole Miss                  55.5          24
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