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Here are score predictions from our model for every game on the board in college basketball today, 3/9/24. There are 3 sets of predictions for each game using different time frame parameters.
The first prediction uses full season data. The 2nd prediction uses data from only the last 4 games and the 3rd uses data from only the last 7 games.
In college hoops, current form is everything. So we weigh the 3rd prediction more heavily than the others when using the model in our own handicapping.
Lastly, the model is at it’s best when picking underdogs!
1st score using full season data 2nd score using last 4 games data 3rd score using last 7 games data Nebraska 153.0 74 Michigan -20.5 76 Nebraska 153.0 72 Michigan -20.5 62 Nebraska 153.0 73 Michigan -20.5 64 Wisconsin 175.0 68 Purdue -14.0 82 Wisconsin 175.0 75 Purdue -14.0 90 Wisconsin 175.0 70 Purdue -14.0 85 Ohio State 162.5 65 Rutgers -7.0 65 Ohio State 162.5 66 Rutgers -7.0 60 Ohio State 162.5 70 Rutgers -7.0 63 Southern Methodist 140.0 77 U.A.B. -11.5 75 Southern Methodist 140.0 79 U.A.B. -11.5 98 Southern Methodist 140.0 88 U.A.B. -11.5 80 Temple 155.0 78 UTSA -12.0 75 Temple 155.0 58 UTSA -12.0 86 Temple 155.0 70 UTSA -12.0 77 Michigan State 141.0 75 Indiana -4.0 68 Michigan State 141.0 60 Indiana -4.0 64 Michigan State 141.0 72 Indiana -4.0 71 Illinois 147.0 89 Iowa -6.5 85 Illinois 147.0 109 Iowa -6.5 101 Illinois 147.0 100 Iowa -6.5 100 Maryland 152.5 68 Penn State -5.0 69 Maryland 152.5 72 Penn State -5.0 73 Maryland 152.5 75 Penn State -5.0 75 North Dakota State 134.5 67 NEUTRAL St. Thomas MN -15.5 72 North Dakota State 134.5 60 NEUTRAL St. Thomas MN -15.5 90 North Dakota State 134.5 71 NEUTRAL St. Thomas MN -15.5 74 Nebraska Omaha 140.0 74 NEUTRAL North Dakota -2.0 75 Nebraska Omaha 140.0 64 NEUTRAL North Dakota -2.0 74 Nebraska Omaha 140.0 75 NEUTRAL North Dakota -2.0 85 Austin Peay 145.0 74 Stetson -12.0 75 Austin Peay 145.0 95 Stetson -12.0 94 Austin Peay 145.0 87 Stetson -12.0 89 Bucknell 144.5 57 Colgate -1.0 65 Bucknell 144.5 58 Colgate -1.0 53 Bucknell 144.5 51 Colgate -1.0 56 Lehigh 147.0 64 Boston University -11.0 64 Lehigh 147.0 69 Boston University -11.0 61 Lehigh 147.0 68 Boston University -11.0 61 New Orleans 130.5 68 NEUTRAL Southeastern Louisiana -3.5 80 New Orleans 130.5 76 NEUTRAL Southeastern Louisiana -3.5 63 New Orleans 130.5 79 NEUTRAL Southeastern Louisiana -3.5 72 Texas A&M Commerce -5.5 72 NEUTRAL Northwestern State 164.0 74 Texas A&M Commerce -5.5 76 NEUTRAL Northwestern State 164.0 88 Texas A&M Commerce -5.5 75 NEUTRAL Northwestern State 164.0 80
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