#25 Florida Gators Seek Upset Against #13 Alabama Crimson Tide
In a pivotal SEC clash under the Wednesday night lights, the #25 Florida Gators journey to Tuscaloosa to square off against the high-powered #13 Alabama Crimson Tide. This top-25 matchup is the sole showdown of ranked teams on the night’s schedule, adding some extra intensity.
Game Information
- Teams: #25 Florida Gators at #13 Alabama Crimson Tide
- Date: Wednesday, February 21, 2024
- Time: 7 PM EST
- Location: Coleman Coliseum, Tuscaloosa, AL
Offensive Firepower on Display
This contest showcases two explosive offenses hungry to put points on the board. Alabama leads the nation in scoring with an impressive 90.7 points per game, while Florida ranks a respectable 8th with 84.8. The Crimson Tide’s free throw shooting excels at 79% (7th nationally), a stark contrast to Florida’s 272nd ranking at 69.3%. Alabama also holds a distinct advantage from beyond the arc, shooting 38.5% (12th) compared to the Gators’ 33.6% (198th).
The Battle on Alabama’s Court
Alabama’s home-court advantage could be decisive. They boast a 12-1 straight-up record at home and a dominating 11-2 against the spread (ATS). Conversely, Florida is 3-4 straight up on the road with a slightly stronger 4-3 ATS record.
Trends in the Over/Under
Get ready for fireworks! The over has hit in a startling 18 of Alabama’s 27 games, and in 14 of Florida’s 24 contests. This suggests a high-scoring affair in store.
SEC Standings Implications
Alabama sits atop the SEC with a 10-2 conference record, while Florida resides in 6th place at 8-4. A win for the Gators would inch them closer in the standings and cause a shakeup in the league.
The Battle of Common Opponents
Both teams have faced numerous shared opponents this season. Alabama holds the edge with a 12-3 record and an average win margin of 9 points. Florida comes in at 8-1, their average win margin is 5.7 points.
Our Model
Our model is leaning heavily towards Alabama . Considering full-season data, the model suggests a 102-81 Crimson Tide win. Using just the last seven games the model predicts a closer 107-93 Alabama win.
Betonline opened Alabama as a -7.5 point favorite with a total of 175.
That being the case we’ll be on Alabama -7.5 and the OVER.