Here are score predictions from our model for every game on the board in college basketball today, 2/21/24. There are 3 sets of predictions for each game using different time frame parameters.
The first prediction uses full season data. The 2nd prediction uses data from only the last 4 games and the 3rd uses data from only the last 7 games.
In college hoops, current form is everything. So we weigh the 3rd prediction more heavily than the others when using the model in our own handicapping.
Lastly, the model is at it’s best when picking underdogs!
1st score using full season data 2nd score using last 4 games data 3rd score using last 7 games data Western Carolina 139.0 69 NC Greensboro -4.0 75 Western Carolina 139.0 65 NC Greensboro -4.0 59 Western Carolina 139.0 77 NC Greensboro -4.0 77 St. Bonaventure -6.0 81 La Salle 145.0 63 St. Bonaventure -6.0 79 La Salle 145.0 75 St. Bonaventure -6.0 91 La Salle 145.0 71 Illinois -7.0 82 Penn State 157.0 72 Illinois -7.0 83 Penn State 157.0 71 Illinois -7.0 82 Penn State 157.0 79 Coastal Carolina 153.5 73 Georgia State -9.5 85 Coastal Carolina 153.5 61 Georgia State -9.5 81 Coastal Carolina 153.5 70 Georgia State -9.5 90 V.M.I. 148.0 61 East Tennessee State -17.0 86 V.M.I. 148.0 56 East Tennessee State -17.0 82 V.M.I. 148.0 61 East Tennessee State -17.0 78 The Citadel 133.5 63 Mercer -4.5 73 The Citadel 133.5 59 Mercer -4.5 75 The Citadel 133.5 62 Mercer -4.5 72 James Madison -7.0 79 Marshall 155.5 79 James Madison -7.0 82 Marshall 155.5 63 James Madison -7.0 86 Marshall 155.5 72 Dayton -2.0 74 George Mason 134.0 62 Dayton -2.0 64 George Mason 134.0 62 Dayton -2.0 71 George Mason 134.0 69 George Washington 158.5 68 St. Joseph's -11.5 86 George Washington 158.5 73 St. Joseph's -11.5 79 George Washington 158.5 74 St. Joseph's -11.5 89 Richmond -5.0 75 Rhode Island 144.5 69 Richmond -5.0 73 Rhode Island 144.5 82 Richmond -5.0 77 Rhode Island 144.5 73 Wofford 145.5 73 Chattanooga -7.5 78 Wofford 145.5 58 Chattanooga -7.5 75 Wofford 145.5 74 Chattanooga -7.5 75 St. John's -9.5 82 Georgetown 151.0 68 St. John's -9.5 73 Georgetown 151.0 75 St. John's -9.5 79 Georgetown 151.0 71 Florida 174.0 81 Alabama -8.5 102 Florida 174.0 97 Alabama -8.5 107 Florida 174.0 93 Alabama -8.5 107 Oklahoma State 139.5 62 Cincinnati -10.0 75 Oklahoma State 139.5 69 Cincinnati -10.0 70 Oklahoma State 139.5 65 Cincinnati -10.0 72 Middle Tennessee St. 130.5 57 Jacksonville State -6.0 65 Middle Tennessee St. 130.5 63 Jacksonville State -6.0 80 Middle Tennessee St. 130.5 65 Jacksonville State -6.0 76 Clemson -6.5 79 Georgia Tech 145.5 70 Clemson -6.5 77 Georgia Tech 145.5 55 Clemson -6.5 77 Georgia Tech 145.5 62 Notre Dame 135.0 65 Louisville -1.5 67 Notre Dame 135.0 72 Louisville -1.5 62 Notre Dame 135.0 67 Louisville -1.5 69 Duke -5.0 79 Miami 150.0 74 Duke -5.0 78 Miami 150.0 71 Duke -5.0 74 Miami 150.0 68 Furman 164.5 82 Samford -7.0 90 Furman 164.5 73 Samford -7.0 80 Furman 164.5 69 Samford -7.0 90 Belmont 157.5 71 Drake -9.0 85 Belmont 157.5 73 Drake -9.0 89 Belmont 157.5 74 Drake -9.0 85 Murray State 135.5 64 Southern Illinois -4.5 70 Murray State 135.5 72 Southern Illinois -4.5 81 Murray State 135.5 66 Southern Illinois -4.5 71 Providence 151.5 67 Xavier -5.0 77 Providence 151.5 65 Xavier -5.0 78 Providence 151.5 75 Xavier -5.0 81 Bradley -2.5 72 Missouri State 142.0 67 Bradley -2.5 78 Missouri State 142.0 75 Bradley -2.5 81 Missouri State 142.0 77 Indiana State -16.0 87 Valparaiso 156.5 69 Indiana State -16.0 81 Valparaiso 156.5 80 Indiana State -16.0 88 Valparaiso 156.5 74 Rice 148.5 69 U.A.B. -11.5 85 Rice 148.5 61 U.A.B. -11.5 92 Rice 148.5 68 U.A.B. -11.5 92 South Florida -5.5 89 UTSA 155.5 72 South Florida -5.5 89 UTSA 155.5 67 South Florida -5.5 86 UTSA 155.5 68 Evansville 144.0 66 Illinois Chicago -2.5 72 Evansville 144.0 74 Illinois Chicago -2.5 78 Evansville 144.0 68 Illinois Chicago -2.5 66 Northern Iowa -1.0 68 Illinois State 132.5 65 Northern Iowa -1.0 66 Illinois State 132.5 81 Northern Iowa -1.0 61 Illinois State 132.5 66 NC Charlotte 145.0 66 Memphis -6.0 77 NC Charlotte 145.0 72 Memphis -6.0 91 NC Charlotte 145.0 77 Memphis -6.0 77 Nebraska 0.0 72 Indiana 147.0 75 Nebraska 0.0 66 Indiana 147.0 69 Nebraska 0.0 74 Indiana 147.0 73 Georgia 144.0 75 Vanderbilt -1.0 71 Georgia 144.0 74 Vanderbilt -1.0 75 Georgia 144.0 78 Vanderbilt -1.0 77 Tulsa 146.0 65 Wichita State -7.0 83 Tulsa 146.0 66 Wichita State -7.0 76 Tulsa 146.0 69 Wichita State -7.0 78 DePaul 150.5 60 Marquette -26.0 88 DePaul 150.5 66 Marquette -26.0 91 DePaul 150.5 65 Marquette -26.0 88 Kentucky -7.0 89 L.S.U. 163.0 82 Kentucky -7.0 89 L.S.U. 163.0 78 Kentucky -7.0 94 L.S.U. 163.0 89 Mississippi 142.0 68 Mississippi State -7.5 77 Mississippi 142.0 60 Mississippi State -7.5 71 Mississippi 142.0 72 Mississippi State -7.5 75 Colorado State 156.0 75 New Mexico -6.0 79 Colorado State 156.0 67 New Mexico -6.0 67 Colorado State 156.0 72 New Mexico -6.0 76 Pepperdine -6.5 80 Pacific 148.5 66 Pepperdine -6.5 86 Pacific 148.5 84 Pepperdine -6.5 75 Pacific 148.5 86 UNLV -5.5 74 Air Force 133.5 63 UNLV -5.5 76 Air Force 133.5 61 UNLV -5.5 70 Air Force 133.5 70 Lehigh -2.5 61 Army 131.0 59 Lehigh -2.5 63 Army 131.0 66 Lehigh -2.5 57 Army 131.0 67 Presbyterian 145.0 67 Winthrop -9.0 85 Presbyterian 145.0 71 Winthrop -9.0 74 Presbyterian 145.0 72 Winthrop -9.0 79 Bucknell -3.5 71 Holy Cross 134.0 59 Bucknell -3.5 52 Holy Cross 134.0 56 Bucknell -3.5 60 Holy Cross 134.0 59 Charleston Southern 140.0 68 USC Upstate -5.5 76 Charleston Southern 140.0 60 USC Upstate -5.5 83 Charleston Southern 140.0 66 USC Upstate -5.5 75 NC Asheville -1.5 78 Longwood 148.0 70 NC Asheville -1.5 69 Longwood 148.0 75 NC Asheville -1.5 80 Longwood 148.0 76 Navy -1.5 59 Loyola Maryland 130.5 65 Navy -1.5 50 Loyola Maryland 130.5 75 Navy -1.5 56 Loyola Maryland 130.5 68 Boston University 127.5 59 American -4.5 65 Boston University 127.5 52 American -4.5 53 Boston University 127.5 53 American -4.5 55