The NCAA Tournament bubble tightens, and Saturday’s slate of games could be the deciding factor for several teams clinging to their March Madness hopes. We’re looking at Cincinnati, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, Oregon, Iowa, and Texas A&M to see who might survive and who might see their dreams dashed.
Key Matchups and Predictions
- Cincinnati at TCU (3 p.m., ESPN plus): Cincinnati’s fading bubble could be extinguished in Fort Worth. TCU’s recent hot streak and home-court advantage likely put the Bearcats on the wrong side of a close contest.
- Iowa at Illinois (2:15 p.m., Big Ten Network): The Hawkeyes face a daunting road challenge against #12 Illinois. Iowa’s road struggles and Illinois’ power at home suggest the Illini will keep the Hawkeyes on the bubble’s edge.
- South Carolina at Ole Miss (3:30 p.m., SEC Network): Ole Miss looks to reverse recent woes and protect its home-court record against a formidable #20 South Carolina. Though it’ll be a battle, expect the Rebels to defend their turf in a narrow win.
- Oregon at California (7 p.m., Pac-12 Networks): Oregon needs every win, but this road game is no gimme. The Ducks are the stronger team, but Cal could make this a nail-biter. Our model predicts a razor-thin Oregon victory.
- Mississippi State at LSU (8:30 p.m., SEC Network): This clash is a toss-up. Miss State’s momentum against LSU’s recent upsets make for an unpredictable outcome. Our model is split – full season data favors Mississippi State, recent trends lean LSU.
- Texas A&M at Tennessee (8 p.m., ESPN): This is likely the end of the road for the Aggies. Tennessee, seeking revenge after an earlier loss, will be tough to beat at home. Expect the Vols to deliver a decisive blow to Texas A&M’s tournament hopes.
One Day, Huge Consequences
These bubble teams face a pivotal moment. Wins could solidify their tournament chances, while losses may lead to heartbreaking disappointment come Selection Sunday.