Browns vs. Jaguars NFL Week 2 Pick ATS: (9-15-24)

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Browns vs. Jaguars NFL Prediction ATS
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NFL Week 2 Preview: Jaguars Seek Redemption Against Troubled Browns

Setting the Stage:

The Jacksonville Jaguars and Cleveland Browns, both 0-1 after disappointing season openers, will clash this Sunday at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville. This matchup features two playoff teams from a year ago desperately seeking to break into the win column. Kickoff is set for 1 pm EST with the Jaguars entering as 3-point home favorites and a total of 41.5 points. (MyBookie)

Last Time Out:

The Jaguars suffered a narrow 20-17 road loss to the Dolphins, surrendering over 400 yards of offense, primarily through the air. Meanwhile, the Browns were humbled at home by the Cowboys, 33-17, with Deshaun Watson’s performance drawing heavy criticism.

These teams faced off last December, resulting in a 31-27 Browns victory with Joe Flacco filling in for an injured Watson.

Key Storylines:

  1. Watson Under the Microscope: All eyes will be on Deshaun Watson following his abysmal Week 1 outing. The pressure is mounting amidst fan discontent and new sexual assault claims, raising questions about his ability to focus on football.

  2. Jags’ Defense vs. Browns’ Offense: The Jaguars struggled to contain the Dolphins’ passing attack but excelled against the run. The Browns, lacking a potent aerial threat, might lean on Nick Chubb and the ground game.

  3. Bounce-Back Opportunity: Both teams are eager to rebound from opening week losses. The Jaguars, playing at home, will aim to exploit their defensive strengths and capitalize on any Watson miscues.

Prediction:

Despite recent trends favoring the Browns against the spread, we’re siding with the Jaguars in this matchup. While we anticipate an improved performance from Cleveland, the Jaguars’ defense should be able to contain their limited offensive firepower. Ultimately, the combination of home-field advantage and Watson’s distractions will tip the scales in favor of Jacksonville.

Our Pick: Jaguars -3 Predicted Score: 24-17

Betting Trends to Consider:

  • Browns are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a double-digit loss at home.
  • Jaguars are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 3.5-10.0.
  • Browns are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss.
  • Browns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 2.
  • Browns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a home favorite.
  • Under is 9-0 in Jaguars’ last 9 games as a favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Under is 6-0 in Jaguars’ last 6 games as a home favorite of 0.5-3.0.
  • Over is 6-0 in Browns’ last 6 games as a road underdog.
  • Over is 6-0 in Browns’ last 6 vs. AFC.
  • Over is 5-0-1 in Browns’ last 6 games as an underdog.
  • Over is 5-0 in Browns’ last 5 games overall.

Remember: Betting trends should be considered alongside other factors when making informed decisions.

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